The Packers should avenge their early-season 17-14 loss in Minnesota, as the Vikings come in having lost seven of nine. The Vikings are averaging under 15 points in their last four games. Green Bay has won four straight and is on a mission to win the NFC North. Even with Harrison Smith likely returning to bolster Minny's secondary, I like the Pack to win by at least a TD.

The Under has been a strong play in Vikings games this year, as their offense has tanked while their defense has still played well. Minnesota has went Under the total in nine of their 14 games, including a Week 2 matchup with the Packers, a 17-14 win for the Vikings. The Packers offense is playing better in recent weeks than it was at the beginning of the year, and while I think 20-27 points is fair for them, I can't see the Vikings score more than 10-16 against a solid defense; they've scored 16 or less in six of their last nine. Teasing the Packers with the Under should be easy money.

This is a total square play, but the public has done well against Vegas this year so I'm not as afraid following them on sides I like as I would be in most other years. The Packers have won four straight and somehow found a rushing attack last week, which will help them against a strong Vikings pass defense here. The Vikings' offense is abysmal, and Adrian Peterson at less than 100 percent doesn't scare me. Taking the Packers at less than a touchdown is the preferable play, but I'm willing to lay seven points if that's what it takes.