Along with the skyrocketing spread, this moneyline is out of control. My simulations show the Panthers winning outright 41 percent of the time, indicating a strong moneyline play at +225. Grab the value on Carolina, which has beaten Washington four straight times, including 44-16 last year.

Quietly, the Panthers' offensive line has played better the past three weeks. I don’t like how Kirk Cousins handles pressure and with the return of Luke Kuechly to the Panthers' defense, Carolina will keep it close. Grab the points.

Although postseason play has long been out of the picture for the Panthers, there still is a goal of trying finish the season without a losing record. This means winning three straight to close out the year, and Washington's defense gives them every opportunity to have success. The Redskins have allowed 20 points or more in their last eight, which has helped seven of those games go Over the total. They've gone Over in 11 of 13 games this season. The Panthers defense won't stop the Redskins, either, which makes the Over the best play.