While nearly every other NFL total has shrunk this week, this total has climbed 1.5 points. Does the public believe RB Adrian Peterson is returning? Because if he isn’t quite ready, the Vikings’ offense will remain stuck in quicksand. This total is the highest all season for Minnesota. While the Colts can spit out points -- and allow them in spurts, too -- I don’t expect a Vikings game to exceed this figure for only the third time in 2016.

The Colts have played well on the road this year, winning their last three outright. It wasn't just pushover teams like the Jets they beat, either; the Packers and Titans both fell at home to this Colts team. This version of the Vikings just isn't set up to score big without non-offensive TDs, and those are harder to come by against good quarterbacks like Andrew Luck. This figures to either be a low-scoring, close game that the Vikings win by four or less, or one that the Colts put some points on the board and the Vikings can't keep pace.