Nuggets vs. Lakers NBA Game 4 Western Conference Finals odds, trends: Bettors backing Denver to finish sweep, Austin Reaves to keep scoring

The Los Angeles Lakers not only have never rallied from a 3-0 deficit in the NBA playoffs to win a series -- no team has -- but they have never even won a single game once trailing 3-0. Their eight losses in that Game 4 scenario are the most without a win in NBA history. Bettors at BetMGM don't seem to think that streak will be broken Monday, either, when the Lakers face elimination in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals against the Denver Nuggets, who are 3.5-point road favorites. Click here for model picks.

At BetMGM, the Lakers are taking just 24% of the bets and 15% of the money against the spread. The total has risen from an open of 220.5 points to 224.5, with 65% of the bets and 76% of the money on the Over. At +135 on the moneyline, Denver is getting 86% of the bets and 84% of the money.

This is the fourth time a LeBron James team has trailed a series 3-0, and his teams were swept in two of the previous three – by San Antonio in 2007 and Golden State in 2018. No team has been swept James in a series before the NBA Finals, and the Nuggets themselves have never completed a sweep in franchise history. Nearly two-thirds of the teams in NBA history to be down 3-0 got swept (91 of 149). Only three of those teams even forced a Game 7.

With four rebounds tonight, Denver's Nikola Jokic would become the second player in NBA history with 2,000 points, 1,000 rebounds and 800 assists in a single season, including both the regular season and playoffs. He would join Oscar Robertson in 1961-62.

Jokic, surprisingly, is not yet among the five most-wagered player props for Monday's game. Three of them are on Lakers guard Austin Reaves, who is making himself millions of dollars as a pending restricted free agent.

Reaves Over 26.5 combined points, rebounds and assists at -110; Reaves Over 17.5 points; and Reaves Over 2.5 3-pointers (+100) are all taking big action. Reaves has scored at least 20 points in four straight games dating to the previous round and is the youngest Laker with four straight 20-point playoff games since Kobe Bryant. Reaves has made at least three 3-pointers in five straight games.

The other popular props tonight: James to score the game's first field goal at +425, and Michael Porter Jr. Over 8.5 combined rebounds and assists (-120). Denver is -3000 on the updated series line (was -155 entering Game 1) and Los Angeles is +1400 (+125).

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