The LA Clippers are just 1-7 over their last eight games. They’ve been without Kawhi Leonard, lost Bradley Beal for the season, and suffered another key injury in yesterday’s defeat with Derrick Jones Jr going down. Yet, the team fought back from a twenty four point third quarter deficit to lose by just three points to Boston. The effort is there, and I expect that to overtake a Philadelphia team that tends to lose its focus for four quarters. Grab the points with the Clippers.

The sample size is small but all of the factors I like to see are in play. First, this line is +$$$ and it's under VJ Edgecombe's average of 4.2 assists. We are projecting less than his average but still have value at 3.7 assists. His home average of 4.8 is much higher than his road average of 3.5 and we are getting buy low value on his 3 straight unders. Other Guards who average 3.3 to 4 assists average considerably more assists at home vs the Clippers (3.4, 11-11 over 3.5) than on the road at LAC (2.6, 4-11 over 3.5). This indicates that the defense for the Clippers isn't as good on the road and the home cooking helps raise perimeter shooting percentages.