FanDuel. So yesterday’s bet on Austin Reaves’ rebounds didn’t go as planned, but he did have 15 rebound chances (despite only grabbing 4). At a season long conversion % of 53.6%, it’s safe to say that we were served a bad beat. Nevertheless, I’m back on Reaves tonight on a higher line (5.5) in an even better matchup. The Spurs have allowed the fifth most rebounds to their opponents since the all-star break. Reaves is still over this line in 6/7 without LeBron James this season (and 2/3 with Luka Doncic in that subset).

Spurs are broken. They are allowing 128.2/G over the last 10 games, with teams shooting 40% from three and 52% from the floor. They are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 on road, failing to cover 9 of those games by multiple possessions. Lakers have covered 6 straight at home and have thrived in back-to-back (6-3 ATS) and 26-15-1 ATS vs the West. Lakers are 8-4 ATS with a rest disadvantage. They just sat a bunch of guys two games ago so I'm banking on a decent cast here and when they have had to play without Luka and LBJ they always meet the challenge. Defensive juggernaut might not give up 90 here.