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Sun, Mar 031:30 am UTCCrypto.com Arena
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L57-25
ATS39-40
O/U36-44-1
FINAL SCORE
124
-
114
Los Angeles
Lakers
LAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L47-35
ATS38-44
O/U47-34-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
57-25
Win /Loss
47-35
39-40
Spread
38-44
36-44-1
Over / Under
47-34-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DEN @ LAL
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MONEYLINE
DEN @ LAL
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OVER / UNDER
DEN @ LAL
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62%
PUBLIC
38%
MONEY
60%
PUBLIC
40%
MONEY
Over42%
PUBLIC
Under58%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsAaron Gordon Over 9.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

I've run out of ways to gush about Aaron Gordon who arguably the Nuggets most important player outside of Nikola Jokic. Gordon is one of the leagues most versatile players on both ends of the court, but defensively he is one of the rare players not just capable but excels guarding positions 1 through 5 and routinely is assigned with slowing down the opponents best perimeter player. Offensively Gordon sacrifices his playmaking ability to primarily out of the dunker spot where he shows off tremendous cutting ability and basketball IQ. Gordon is an underrated passer and ball handler who could score 20 a game if needed to. Whenever Jamal Murray is inactive his usage rate spikes and he averages an additional 4.4 RA without Murray.

Pick Made: Mar 02, 11:50 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total 3pt Field GoalsLeBron James Over 2.5 Total 3pt Field Goals +143
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

LBJ has a flair for the dramatic, he is going to 40,000 points tonight, he'll want to one-up The Joker and he's chucked up 17 3s the last two games as he pursues this record ... and he's hit 9 of them. I suspect he comes out launching. LBJ is over this in 3 of the last 5 games and been home all week ("road" game vs LAC). Nuggets are only league average defending the three ball. This is a game where LBJ will be on the court as much as he wants, and there is no reason to think he won't demand heavy minutes in what could be a shootout.

Pick Made: Mar 02, 8:59 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + AssistsLeBron James Over 33.5 Total Points + Assists -111
WIN
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

LBJ is on a heater, he's going to make history again tonight and the Nuggets will likely be compromised by injury. LeBron has scored 28+ in four straight since the ASG, and when he scores 25+ there's almost always a correlation to at least 8+ assists (7 of last 9 times). That gets us to 33. I expect him to push for 30 tonight. He led a 40-point 4th quarter charge vs rival LAC and then cut the lowly Wizards throats in an OT "letdown game" the next night. I think he's to be shooting from all over and driving and dishing, too.

Pick Made: Mar 02, 8:52 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadL.A. Lakers +1 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2001.25
170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
+373
8-5 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

There are two ways of thinking about this game in my mind: The Lakers can't possibly lose on LeBron James 40K night (hopefully you read Friday's premium newsletter on the odds on how he gets that historic point) or this is a massive distraction, etc. Wish I had the answer but I'm betting LA simply as I doubt Jamal Murray plays with his ankle and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is also questionable. That the Lakers are listing LeBron as the same just proves the whole NBA injury report system is broken. I will buy every Taylor Swift album on the planet and dress like her on the Early Edge (yep, likely coming back fairly soon w/Snoopy) if he doesn't play.

Pick Made: Mar 02, 7:37 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Point SpreadDenver +1.5 -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+2461
108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
+446
10-5 in Last 15 DEN ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

The Nuggets are very adept at sending messages and might consider tonight one of those situations as the Lakers have won 9 of 12, and erased a 21-point deficit in the 4th Q at midweek vs. the Clippers. For what it's worth, however, the Lake Show has only covered one of its last five, and the Nuggets enter on a five-game win streak, with message-sending romps past Sacto and the Warriors, and have beaten the Lakers seven straight, including a playoff sweep last May. Concern Saturday about status of G Jamal Murray, who rolled an ankle Thursday vs. Miami and likely a game-time decision. The Nuggets, however have already played without Murray 15 times this season, and the The Joker is very available. Play Nuggets

Pick Made: Mar 02, 7:46 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Denver Nuggets
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
SF
Julian Strawther
BackQuestionable
Sunday, Nov 23, 2025
Avatar
PF
Aaron Gordon
HamstringOut
Friday, Nov 14, 2025
Avatar
SF
Christian Braun
AnkleOut
Los Angeles Lakers
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
PG
Marcus Smart
BackQuestionable
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