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Sun, Apr 169:30 pm UTCFiserv Forum
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L58-49
ATS46-58
O/U51-54-2
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Milwaukee
Bucks
MIL
Last 5 ATS
W/L59-28
ATS43-38
O/U47-40-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
58-49
Win /Loss
59-28
46-58
Spread
43-38
51-54-2
Over / Under
47-40-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ MIL
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MONEYLINE
MIA @ MIL
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OVER / UNDER
MIA @ MIL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total AssistsJrue Holiday Over 6.5 Total Assists -129
WIN
Unit1.0
Larry's Analysis:

Jrue Holiday racked up 25 assists in his final two regular-season games, and he should again be an effective distributor in Game 1 versus Miami's subpar defense. Max Strus, Tyler Herro and Gabe Vincent are not intimidating defenders. Holiday has taken on a bigger playmaking role in Milwaukee's offense this season. After the All-Star Break, he averaged 8.0 assists. Go Over 6.5 assists.

Pick Made: Apr 16, 8:44 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total AssistsGiannis Antetokounmpo Over 5.5 Total Assists -145
LOSS
Unit1.0
+464
4-1 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Allan's Analysis:

When the playoffs arrive in any sport with a clock, it starts to run faster than you think. Possessions decrease and each opportunity becomes that much more important. We're riding Giannis over 5.5 assists for just that reason...and also the fact he's averaging 7.5 both over his last 10 games and against the Heat this season. Star players garner defensive attention and Giannis is smart and quick enough to find the open man with dimes for buckets. A bit juicy at -145 but we can gamble elsewhere today, let's get this win, cash it and go hunting for more.

Pick Made: Apr 16, 6:54 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total PointsBrook Lopez Over 14.5 Total Points -113
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jaime's Analysis:

14.5 is just way too low for Brook Lopez. Lopez has hit this number in 18 of his last 22 games, and if you follow my picks we have bet on nearly all of those games. We don't call him Brook THE ATM Lopez for nothing, we will ride this wagon right through the NBA Finals.

Pick Made: Apr 16, 1:56 pm UTC on WHNJ
Point SpreadMilwaukee -9.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1249
16-3 in Last 19 NBA Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Heat kept their season alive with a comeback win over the Bulls on Friday. Their prize is a first-round series against the loaded Bucks. Khris Middleton is off the injury report, so the Bucks are expected to be at full strength. Meanwhile, Kyle Lowry continues to battle a knee issue for the Heat. He’s officially listed as questionable, but even if he does play, he might not be at full strength. The Bucks are 23-16-1 ATS as a home favorite, and I expect them to begin this series with a double-digit win.

Pick Made: Apr 16, 12:47 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total ReboundsGiannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 Total Rebounds -139
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1368.5
70-45 in Last 115 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Giannis finished the regular season averaging 11.8 rebounds, however we're about to experience playoff Giannis who has pulled down 13.4 rebounds per game over his previous three playoff runs. He has eclipsed this line in 29 of his last 42 playoff games. There is a very good chance we won't see this prop at 11.5 for the remainder of the playoffs. Our biggest concern is Miami getting blown out and Giannis not playing many fourth quarter minutes. Even if Milwaukee smokes Miami, Giannis is capable of collecting 12 boards in three quarters and blowouts are less common in the postseason. This is prop is simply an auto bet at 11.5 in the playoffs. Make sure to ALWAYS shop around as other books may offer less juice.

Pick Made: Apr 16, 8:52 am UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
SG
Dru Smith
HipQuestionable
Sunday, Dec 07, 2025
Avatar
PG
Davion Mitchell
GroinQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Tyler Herro
ToeQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Pelle Larsson
HipQuestionable
Saturday, Nov 22, 2025
Avatar
SG
Terry Rozier
Not Injury RelatedOut
Milwaukee Bucks
Sunday, Dec 07, 2025
Avatar
PF
Giannis Antetokounmpo
CalfOut
Avatar
SG
AJ Green
ShoulderQuestionable
Thursday, Nov 13, 2025
Avatar
SG
Taurean Prince
NeckOut
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