I'm just not buying the Jazz even with their 9-3 record, although first-year coach Will Hardy has done an amazing job and is deservedly the Coach of the Year betting favorite. Wasn't going to play this unless Trae Young was back for the Hawks. No word yet, but he was a shootaround so I guess I'll risk it as I'm sure this will rise a bit if he's officially in the lineup.

The SportslineAI model has the Utah Jazz winning this matchup against the Atlanta Hawks by a point. However, the 4 point spread gives me a little more comfort in this pick. The Jazz are the number one team in the West and it is because they play team basketball. In their top 10 man rotation not a single player has over 25% usage percentage. For comparison, the Hawks’ Trae Young usage is currently 36% and Dejonte Murray’s is 27%. The Hawks are a great team, but the unpredictability of the Jazz who have six players averaging double digit points per game makes Utah Jazz +4 the pick.