Expert Picks
NBA | Miami 110 @ Atlanta 86 | 04/24 | 11:00 PM UTC
Miami -1.5
WIN
ANALYSIS: Take the fun of rooting for Trae Young out of this and think logically: You're getting what is basically a coin-flip line on a No. 1 seed taking on a team that wouldn't even had made the playoffs without the play-in. Miami has been the better team in this series pretty much the whole way. Atlanta made one last desperate run to squeak out Game 3 and that's why you're getting this line, but that's not to happen twice. Even without Kyle Lowry, take the value on Miami and say thank you on your way to the cashier.
Season Splits
40-36, 27-46 ATS
38-38, 34-40 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
48-37
38-47-2
44%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
59%
25-17
24-18-1
57%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
49%
30-31
11-24
31%
When Spread was -3 to
SPREAD
When Spread was PK to +3
40%
6-9
8-10
44%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
47%
11-12
5-3
62%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
48%
12-13
14-22
38%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
55%
45-36
35-44-2
44%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
59%
42-29
32-37-2
46%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
71%
5-2
2-5
28%