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Sat 02/05 | 1:30 AM UTC | San Antonio
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Houston Rockets 20-61, 34-44 ATS
HOU +8-110
HOU +270
Over 236.5-110
San Antonio Spurs 34-48, 44-37 ATS
SA -8-110
SA -340
Under 236.5-110

Expert Picks

Houston 106 @ San Antonio 131 | 02/05 | 1:30 AM UTC

San Antonio -190

WIN

ANALYSIS: When I first looked at the NBA odds this morning, I wanted no part of the Spurs in the second of a back-to-back and after playing without Dejounte Murray, Jakob Poeltl and Doug McDermott in Thursday's blowout loss to Miami. I presumed they would all miss this game, but now they are probable. Not only that, but reserve big man Keita Bates-Diop will come out of protocols and Zach Collins will make his season and team debut. The 10th pick of the 2017 draft by Portland, Collins hasn’t played in an NBA game since getting 17 minutes for Portland vs. Brooklyn in the Orlando bubble on Aug. 13, 2020. Collins did look very good in four G-League games recently while preparing for his NBA return. The former Gonzaga star has talent but simply terrible injury luck.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2847 93-39 IN LAST 132 NBA ML PICKS
+76 2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ML PICKS
+905 14-4 IN LAST 18 SA ML PICKS

Season Splits

20-61, 34-44 ATS
34-48, 44-37 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
42%
21-28-2
27-26
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
53%
14-12-1
13-15
46%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
40%
18-26-2
10-8
55%
When Spread was +6 to +9
SPREAD
When Spread was -9 to -6
23%
3-10-1
2-3
40%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
52%
13-12-1
8-5
61%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
37%
6-10
5-7
41%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
44%
19-24-1
24-26
48%
After a Day Off
REST
in 2nd Game of Back-to-Back
47%
20-22-1
5-5
50%
vs SA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs HOU
50%
1-1
1-1
50%