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Sat 01/15 | 12:00 AM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Boston Celtics 62-36, 54-41 ATS
BOS +3-110
BOS +130
Over 207.5-110
Philadelphia 76ers 57-36, 43-48 ATS
PHI -3-110
PHI -150
Under 207.5-110

Expert Picks

Boston 99 @ Philadelphia 111 | 01/15 | 12:00 AM UTC

Philadelphia -160

WIN

ANALYSIS: Little risky picking this early in the day but won't be at my computer into the evening (going to Rider's National Logic/Girl Scout cookies game -- see my NCAAB pick), so it is what it is. The Celtics just ruled out Marcus Smart, and while he's not close to the team's best or most important player, he's a very good defender and Boston on average is nearly 5 points better per 100 possessions with him on the court. The Sixers are down Shake Milton and Danny Green but that's not a big deal. Philly has won five straight at home in the series.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2944 89-36 IN LAST 125 NBA ML PICKS
+983 26-10 IN LAST 36 BOS ML PICKS
+655 21-8 IN LAST 29 PHI ML PICKS

Season Splits

62-36, 54-41 ATS
57-36, 43-48 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
48%
20-21-1
19-20-1
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
11-10
6-11
35%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
60%
9-6-1
10-12
45%
When Spread was +1.5 to +4.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -4.5 to -1.5
28%
2-5-1
4-3
57%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
6-6
4-7
36%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
60%
9-6-1
5-6-1
45%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
47%
16-18
14-17-1
45%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
48%
16-17-1
18-17-1
51%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
0%
0-2
2-0
100%