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Sun 06/13 | 12:30 AM UTC | Los Angeles
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Utah Jazz 58-21, 46-31 ATS
UTA +4.5
UTA +175
Over 222.5
L.A. Clippers 51-30, 43-36 ATS
LAC -4.5
LAC -200
Under 222.5

Expert Picks

Utah 106 @ L.A. Clippers 132 | 06/13 | 12:30 AM UTC

L.A. Clippers -165

WIN

ANALYSIS: Going to jump on this early because Jazz star Donovan Mitchell tweaked his ankle late in Utah's Game 2 win. He says he is fine, and I'm sure he will play Saturday -- but on the off chance he doesn't (or maybe not 100 percent as it's the same ankle that cost him several regular-season games) this spread/moneyline would skyrocket. I think the desperate Clippers win regardless, even if Mike Conley is back for the Jazz (not likely). Mitchell is averaging 41.0 points in this series on 52.5 percent shooting. That's simply not sustainable, and "Spida" did shoot considerably worse during the season away from home. Utah is 0-4 ATS in its past four as a dog.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2067 78-36 IN LAST 114 NBA ML PICKS
+645 6-0 IN LAST 6 UTA ML PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 LAC ML PICKS

Season Splits

58-21, 46-31 ATS
51-30, 43-36 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
59%
46-31-2
43-36-2
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
20-18
22-18
55%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
2-2
37-31-1
54%
When Spread was +3.5 to +6.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -6.5 to -3.5
66%
2-1
10-10
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
33%
1-2
19-17
52%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
52%
11-10-1
17-13-1
56%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
61%
45-28-2
40-36-2
52%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
60%
38-25-2
33-34-1
49%
vs LAC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs UTA
75%
3-1-1
1-3-1
25%