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Thu 06/03 | 2:00 AM UTC | Los Angeles
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Dallas Mavericks 44-32, 37-39 ATS
DAL +7.5
DAL +270
Over 217.5
L.A. Clippers 49-27, 41-34 ATS
LAC -7.5
LAC -330
Under 217.5

Expert Picks

Dallas 105 @ L.A. Clippers 100 | 06/03 | 2:00 AM UTC

OVER 217

PENDING

ANALYSIS: Game 5 as this Western Conference series shifts to L.A. with the home team yet to win in the series. My model gives the Mavericks a 55 percent chance of covering as 7-point underdogs, but the better wager is on the total with 65 percent of simulations landing Over 217 points. The Over is 7-1 in Dallas' past eight road games.

author-image

Stephen Oh

Data Scientist
+120 10-8 IN LAST 18 NBA PICKS
+80 3-2 IN LAST 5 DAL O/U PICKS

Season Splits

44-32, 37-39 ATS
49-27, 41-34 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
48%
37-39
41-34-1
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
57%
22-16
21-17
55%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
55%
16-13
35-30-1
53%
When Spread was +6 to +9
SPREAD
When Spread was -9 to -6
75%
3-1
14-14
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
61%
11-7
18-16
52%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
59%
16-11
15-11
57%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
50%
37-37
38-34-1
52%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
48%
29-31
31-32
49%
vs LAC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs DAL
57%
4-3
3-4
42%