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Mon 05/31 | 1:30 AM UTC | Dallas
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
L.A. Clippers 48-27, 40-34 ATS
LAC -3.5
LAC -165
Over 219.5
Dallas Mavericks 44-31, 37-38 ATS
DAL +3.5
DAL +145
Under 219.5

Expert Picks

L.A. Clippers 106 @ Dallas 81 | 05/31 | 1:30 AM UTC

L.A. Clippers -150

WIN

ANALYSIS: Mavs star Luka Doncic is listed as questionable with a neck injury. He's going to play, but if he's not 100 percent then this could get out of hand quickly. Dallas was a slightly below average three-point shooting team in the regular season and is hitting an unsustainable 50.8 percent from deep in this series. Meanwhile, Clippers stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are basically scoring at will. While I'm going with the moneyline, the Mavs were a much worse ATS team at home than on the road. Clips even this series up.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1687 70-33 IN LAST 103 NBA ML PICKS

Season Splits

48-27, 40-34 ATS
44-31, 37-38 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
40-34-1
37-38
49%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
19-17-1
15-22
40%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
53%
34-30-1
16-12
57%
When Spread was -4.5 to -1.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +1.5 to +4.5
46%
7-8-1
8-8
50%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
53%
16-14-1
5-5
50%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
56%
14-11
16-10
61%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
52%
37-34-1
37-36
50%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
48%
30-32
29-30
49%
vs DAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs LAC
33%
2-4
4-2
66%