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Fri 04/30 | 1:00 AM UTC | Denver
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Toronto Raptors 26-36, 27-34 ATS
TOR +5-110
TOR +170
Over 218.5-110
Denver Nuggets 41-21, 29-33 ATS
DEN -5-110
DEN -190
Under 218.5-110

Expert Picks

Toronto 111 @ Denver 121 | 04/30 | 1:00 AM UTC

Denver -145

WIN

ANALYSIS: I was probably going to pass on this game because Denver is in the second of a back-to-back and had to work for it late against New Orleans on Wednesday night, but the Nuggets at least don't have to travel. What cinched backing them, however, is that the Raptors have ruled out Fred VanVleet in addition to Gary Trent and Chris Boucher. That's a lot of missing firepower. While I'm not taking the spread here, Toronto is just 1-9 ATS in its past 10 road games.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1522 52-23 IN LAST 75 NBA ML PICKS
+425 6-1 IN LAST 7 DEN ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 TOR ML PICKS

Season Splits

26-36, 27-34 ATS
41-21, 29-33 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
44%
27-34-1
29-33
46%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
40%
12-18
14-19
42%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
46%
12-14-1
24-26
48%
When Spread was +3.5 to +6.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -6.5 to -3.5
60%
6-4
13-9
59%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
46%
7-8
12-16
42%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
45%
9-11-1
9-11
45%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
47%
27-30-1
28-30
48%
After a Day Off
REST
in 2nd Game of Back-to-Back
48%
23-24-1
4-6
40%
vs DEN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TOR
100%
1-0
0-1
0%