The Kings have stayed Under three times during their four-game losing streak. The Pistons' better play of late has been thanks to a faster pace and smarter shot selection, which has helped five of their last six contests get Over the total. They’ve won and covered three of those games. The Pistons might win Thursday's game outright, but I only bet the Over because it's the better play.

Let's just jump on this now as the line may go up a bit as it appears Pistons leading scorer by far Jerami Grant (22.5 ppg) will not play due to a minor injury -- i.e., Detroit tanking. The Kings are on a four-game skid, but they absolutely can't lose to the Pistons at home as they chase a spot in the Western Conference play-in tournament. Detroit is just 6-21 on the road. Again, there's a risk betting this far ahead as perhaps the Kings rule a guy or two out, but sometimes it's an advantage.