The Nuggets have won five of seven yet find themselves home underdogs to the Jazz, who have won four straight. Gary Harris is due to return; he's Denver's best perimeter defender. Denver is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 11 home matchups with the Jazz. Look for the Nuggets' bench, led by. Monte Morris, to make the difference.

This is the first matchup of the season between these two teams since their airtight seven-game playoff series in the NBA bubble, won by Denver. Utah is hot, having beaten Milwaukee, Detroit and Cleveland on the road and Atlanta at home on Friday and will be motivated to get some revenge for last year's playoff defeat. My model says Utah covers more than two-thirds of the time, so you're getting strong value with the Jazz at this number.