Kristaps Porzingis is playing through a sore right knee, so it's no guarantee he'll dominate if he avoids ejection this game. Dallas is 2-7 ATS since the restart. The Clippers should get more from Montrezl Harrell in his second game back. Lay it as the Clips cover late again.

The Mavericks squandered a 14-point lead in Game 1 and also had some serious misfortune in the final couple minutes that prevented them from covering the spread. The questionable ejection of Kristaps Porzingis alos hurt the offense. Even so, it was an encouraging effort and one that should propel them to another solid effort Wednesday in Game 2.

Dallas was going to win the series opener if Kristaps Porzingis would have remained in the game. He got tossed, and that changed everything. The Mavericks scored only 13 points in the third quarter and failed to cover, too. I was shocked to see that the Clippers had no answers for Luka Doncic. The points are the difference.

Despite a historic playoff debut from Luka Doncic, the Mavericks failed to cover a 6.5-point spread in Game 1 as two late Kawhi Leonard free throws gave the Clippers an 8-point victory over Dallas on Monday. L.A. was able to force a career-high 11 turnovers from Doncic. A total of 65 percent of simulations by the model have the Clippers covering again in Game 2. They are 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings.