The Kings will be missing center Richaun Holmes, which helps negate their advantage inside vs. Houston. The Rockets have been off since Thursday and should light it up against Sacramento's indifferent defense. Lay it.

The Rockets will once again be shorthanded with Russell Westbrook (quadriceps) ruled out. He also missed Thursday’s matchup against the Lakers, but the Rockets still won by 16 points. The Kings will be missing two key players of their own with both Richaun Holmes (hip) and Marvin Bagley (foot) sidelined. They have lost four of their five games inside the bubble with three of the losses coming by at least six points. I like the Rockets to take advantage of the Kings’ struggles and cover here.

The Kings need a miracle to even get into a play-in for the No. 8 seed, and they know it. They're 1-4 since the restart and are looking ahead to the offseason. Meanwhile the Rockets are in a dogfight for playoff positioning in the West and have been one of the best teams in the bubble. My model says Houston covers more than 50 percent of the time, so you're getting good value with the Rockets at this number.