Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
The Bucks and Mavericks are currently the top two teams in offensive efficiency so it would only make sense that I'm on the Under. It's not just simple contrarianism, though, because Milwaukee also ranks first in the league in defensive efficiency, while Dallas is slightly above average.
You can throw out all of the Mavericks’ stats in this one. Yes, they are 9-2 ATS on the road, but that was with MVP candidate Luka Doncic leading the charge. He will be out with an ankle injury in this matchup against a Milwaukee team that will be without G Eric Bledsoe (lower leg). Still, Fs Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton are healthy and the Bucks are playing at home, so I’ll take them to cover this lofty line.
The Bucks haven't lost since Nov. 8 and are two wins away from matching the longest streak in franchise history. Milwaukee is 13-1 at home this season and has won seven of its last eight overall contests by at least 12 points. Reigning league MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 31 points for the Bucks. The Mavericks have lost two of three after winning 10 of their previous 11 contests. Expect their struggles to continue.