My model says the Kings cover the spread 67 percent of the time, so you're getting very good value playing Sacramento at this point spread. The Kings have won three straight at home and are perfect ATS in their last seven overall contests. They are facing a Phoenix team that suffered a 14-point loss to Boston at home the previous night. Take Sacramento.

The big news to watch here is the status of Ricky Rubio, who was unable to play Monday due to back spasms. The Suns ended up losing that game against the Celtics by 14 points. Rubio has been a big reason for their early success, so if he doesn’t play, the Kings could win this one going away. The Kings have already played much better of late, which has helped them cover the spread in each of their last seven games. Even if Rubio does play, I like the Kings’ chances to cover this small line.