The Raptors are tough at home, and it seems as though if one team is going to fade down the stretch, it will be the depth-starved road Sixers. And if one player rises for Game 7, it will be Kawhi Leonard. Philly has covered just four times in 14 tries as an underdog of 5-8 points all season. Lay the points with the Raptors.

Consecutive lopsided games have gone over the number in this series. Game 7 no one is expected to be a tighter matchup from start to finish. In the close games of this series all games have gone under the total. Yet expect offense to continue to be the theme and for this total to fly past the number. Grab the over.

The Sixers redeemed themselves at home in Game 6, and now they can go back to sleep as they did in Game 1, 4 and 5. The Sixers were just fortunate in Game 6 that the Raptors didn't shoot well collectively. Ben Simmons showed up and didn't make a turnover, but the rest of the Sixers had 18 turnovers. And Joel Embiid is still MIA. The home team has covered nine of the last 12 meetings. I'm on the Raptors laying the points.

I'm looking for Kawhi Leonard to take over this game. Leonard won an NBA Finals with San Antonio, so he knows what it takes to win a big Game 7. I have Toronto rated the No. 1 team in the East, three points better than Philadelphia. The Sixers are night and day, home and away. Philly is 23-23 SU on the road while being outscored by 2.9 points per game. In Philly, the Sixers are 35-12, winning by 8.3 points per game. The difference is 11.2 points. Toronto's defense is No. 2 in the playoffs. Philadelphia wants to run, but the Raptors want to play half-court basketball. Toronto will control the pace, playing its game and frustrating the Sixers.

Maybe it'll make me end up looking like a fool, but I couldn't help but get the sense that Philly's 112-101 win over the Raptors in Game 6 was the team's last gasp effort to fight back, and I just don't trust the Sixers to have another performance like that in them. Honestly, I'm not sure that game as a result of Philly playing well as much as it was just Toronto laying an egg. I don't think Toronto will do that at home in Game 7.