Simulation Picks
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
Without Kevin Durant, the Warriors are without their top option and scorer. He is worth about eight points to the total. I felt the total should've only been 216 with Durant, so my total without is 208. This provides value Friday on the Under.
The Rockets weren't able to take advantage of Kevin Durant's injury in Game 5, but I think that changes Friday night. With their backs against the wall, and Golden State wounded, I'm expecting a huge performance from the Rockets, and James Harden in particular.
The Rockets have a chance to do something tonight not done against the Warriors ever in their championship dynasty: make a statement with a blowout win. That would typically point to the Over. But, if this game gets out of hand, look for Steve Kerr to save his team's energy for a Game 7. That places value on the Under Friday night.
The big story here is Kevin Durant being out which has jacked the home price up from Game 4 when the Rockets were -1. The Rockets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games and 4-1 ATS in this series, but this is where I think Steph Cury reclaims his team. He's been playing second fiddle and letting Durant take over. I'm taking the points with the Warriors.
Every game in this series has been close and Game 6 should follow suit, even with Kevin Durant out. Look for Steph Curry and Klay Thompson to each have big games as the Warriors keep it close. Grab the points.
The Rockets ended up being eliminated from the playoffs last year by the Warriors after Chris Paul went down with an injury. Now they have an opportunity to return the favor with Kevin Durant likely out for the rest of the series. I expect them to win Friday, but this is a big spread considering the Warriors still have Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green, so I’ll take the points.
This spread suggests the Rockets are potentially due for a blowout Game 6 victory against the Kevin Durant-less Warriors, forcing a decisive Game 7. We're getting some value in what appears to be an overreaction to Duran'ts absence. The last game at Houston was a pick'em -- Durant can't possibly be worth seven points to the spread on a team as talented as Golden State. The Warriors played at Houston without Durant in march and won outright as a 3.5-point underdog. We're getting added value here, and now would be the perfect time for Steph Curry to remind observers of his MVP-caliber potential.