This is the spot Utah is supposed to bounce back, but I don't know if they can stop the momentum Houston has right now, playing its best ball of the season at the right time. The Jazz come in losing four of their past five games mostly because their defense has allowed opponents to shoot 49.6 percent over that span. Houston blew out Utah in the first two games and are now 8-1 straight up and ATS in their last nine games. Houston is the play.

The Jazz shot under 40 percent in both games in Houston, you need to go back to December to find the last time they shot under 40 percent in back to back games. The Jazz are 21-4 SU at home since the beginning of the year winning by a median of 10 points. Over the last eight home games they are 8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS winning by a median of 15.5 points. The Jazz shoot better than 50 percent over those last eight games. I'm looking for a far better shooting performance and a small let down from the Rockets up 2-0.

The Jazz have not figured out how to stop the Houston Rockets' half-court offense or transition game. A loss tonight would lead to a potential four-game sweep. Grab the Jazz to take care of business and make this a series again.

Utah is the desperate team. Down 2-0, the Jazz need to win. But Houston is the better team. Neither of the first two games has been close, and I sense that the Rockets want to end this series as quickly as possible before a potential second round matchup with the Warriors. Take the Rockets.