With Joel Embiid and his 27.5 points per game both up in the air, this is a playoff game that can come down to the wire. When Embiid was out from Feb. 21 March 8, the Under went 7-1. Brooklyn's offense ranked 27th post-All-Star break, but their defense ranks No. 4. The 76ers offense ranks 15th since the break, mainly because of all of the games that Embiid missed. This is the playoffs, so the pace should slow down just enough to keep this one under the number.

Even if Joel Embiid plays, I'm taking the Nets to cover. Brooklyn split the four games between the teams this season and covered in three of them.

The key to this game is the status of Joel Embiid (knee), who might not be able to play. If he doesn’t take the floor, the Nets have a real shot at winning. Even if he does play, the Nets were a tough road team this year, posting a 25-16 ATS record. Based on this lofty line, I’ll take the Nets and the points.