Jamal Murray rolled his ankle Sunday and I don't think he'll be 100 percent for this crucial game. He's a huge part of the Nuggets' attack. Lay the points.

The Nuggets are only one game back of Golden State for the top slot in the West, and they beat the Warriors in their first meeting back in October. As Denver was perceived as a serious West contender, Golden State took note and on Jan. 15, despite all their woes and failures to cover, gave the Nuggets their worst beatdown of the season, 142-111, in Denver. The teams met again last month in Oakland, and the Warriors rolled, 122-105. In this spot, I don't see any reason to believe they won't again treat this as a statement game and win by double-digits. Golden State is the play.

The total for this game was a bit lower than I expected, or was hoping for, but I still see value on this Under. The Warriors and Nuggets have met three times this season and the Under is 2-1. Furthermore, the Under is 23-15 when the Warriors are at home and 24-13-1 when the Nuggets are on the road.