These two teams are headed in opposite directions -- Houston has won seven in a row, Dallas has lost nine of 10. But my simulations say this is too many points for a Mavericks team that's been competitive at home. Dallas is 21-11 at home this season and among the better home covers in the league. Houston is not a good road spread team, at 13-19 overall. When favored by between 6.5 and 9.5 points, the Rockets are just 2-9 ATS. My projections see a single-score outcome. Take the points.