The Nuggets are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games and 11-18 ATS on the season. They come off two straight home losses as big favorites. They've stayed Under in their last five overall. The Spurs have won and covered their last two after an eight-game road trip that didn't go so well (1-7 ATS). Their two meetings this season have stayed Under and that's the best way to play this one Monday.

The Spurs recently endured a tough 1-7 road trip, but they’ve righted the ship by winning both of their last two games at home. That should come as no surprise since they are 24-7 at home, including 20-11 there ATS. The Nuggets are only 11-18 ATS on the road, so I’ll take the Spurs to cover this small line.

The Nuggets have covered just two of their past nine road games, plus they enter this one off two straight home losses. The Spurs are an elite team at home, where they've covered 15 of their past 21. In my simulations, San Antonio wins Monday's matchup 67 percent of the time. Back the Spurs to win their third straight.