Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
The Jazz will be without Ricky Rubio on Thursday night, forcing Donovan Mitchell to play point guard. Plus, Utah exerted extra energy last night coming back from a halftime deficit to the Clippers. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are finally playing with their top eight players and they are 3-0 ATS since the All-Star break and 22-9 at home in 2018-19.
These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and the Under has been a smart play when they meet. In fact, the Under has gone 20-6 in their last 26 matchups and 14-3 the last 17 times they've played in Denver. Plus, while the Under is only 1-1 in the first two meetings, the Over came in a game where the total was 216. When they last played in Denver the final score was 103-88. Take the Under.
The home team has won and covered both meetings this season and that pattern has been the story for the past 10 meetings. Home has been a huge advantage for the Nuggets this season going 22-9 ATS this season and the Nuggets come in hot having won their last five and covering the spread in their last three. Utah played last night which gives Denver another edge. Nuggets are the play.
This is the second game of a back-to-back for the Jazz against a Nuggets team that's 27-4 at home and comes in on a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS run. Denver also has won and covered five straight home meetings with Utah. The Jazz are formidable, but they might not have Ricky Rubio, who left Wednesday's win with a hamstring issue. This is just a bad spot for them. Lay it.