Minnesota has gone 6-1 ATS in its last seven games, but the road has been a struggle lately going 1-5 straight-up in their last six away games. The only road win over that span has been against the awful Knicks. The Pacers come home after a three-game road trip where they lost the last two. However, they're 6-3 SU & ATS overall in their last nine. Pacers are the play.

The Timberwolves have lost six of their last seven games on the road, which included an eight-point loss to the Hawks on Wednesday. They'll face a much tougher opponent in the Pacers, who have covered five of their last six games at home and are 18-13 ATS there, overall. I'll take the Pacers to cover once again in this contest.

My projections see the Pacers toppling the Timberwolves by at least 10 points Thursday, providing a great value on the short home favorite. I've got the Pacers covering in more than two-thirds of simulations. Indiana has covered six straight games against teams with losing road records and five of its last six overall at home.