Are the Thunder actually rated higher than the Nuggets? That's what this number is saying because Denver's home court is worth more than three points. And the Nuggets just don't win at home, they crush opponents, going 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games and 21-9 ATS this season. Also, Denver has won the past four meetings and covered the last seven against OKC. Nuggets get the cover Tuesday.

These division rivals meet on a regular basis, and in the first two meetings this season, the Under is 2-0. In fact, the Under is 6-2 the last eight times these two teams have met, and that shouldn't come as a surprise seeing as how they're both among the better defensive teams in the league. So I'd be telling you to take the Under even if this total wasn't already too high, and believe me, it's too high. The first two meetings have featured an average of 205 points per game.

The Nuggets are nearly unbeatable at home, they've defeated OKC four straight times, and they've covered the past seven meetings. I'm laying the small number.

I'm projecting 226 points for Thunder-Nuggets on Tuesday, giving us a solid play on the Under. The Under has cashed in six of the past eight OKC-Denver matchups.