Past Expert Picks
L.A. Lakers @ Memphis | 02/26 | 1:00 AM UTC
In their last seven home games, the Grizzlies have lost by 6 points once, by 3 points twice, and by 1 point once. They've won three of those seven. Monday sees the Lakers come to town as 4.5-point favorites. In my simulations, the Grizzlies are covering 58 percent of the time. Take the points.
Memphis has only covered 10 of its last 34 games, which includes 0-3 ATS in its current four-game losing streak. The Lakers looked outstanding Thursday at home in a win against the Rockets, but then looked sloppy in a Saturday loss at New Orleans which dropped them three games behind the No. 8 seed in the West. The Lakers have to win games like this -- against bad teams -- on the road to have any chance of the playoffs and that will likely be LeBron's pregame speech. I'm on the Lakers.
It doesn't always have to be rocket science. A bad Memphis team that will now be without Jaren Jackson Jr. is taking on a Lakers team that simply cannot afford to lose games like this if it wants to get to the playoffs.