The Rockets have only lost two homes games in the past two months. Grab the points with a Houston team that's 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 at Toyota Center.

This is the highlight matchup of the night with both teams having won eight of their last 10 games. The Rockets recent run of success has included wins against the Nuggets, Warriors, Celtics, Thunder and Spurs, so they aren’t just beating up bad teams. The Bucks are a stellar 28-11 this year, but they are only 9-7 on the road. I’ll take the Rockets to get the win at home.

Chris Paul has missed the Rockets' last eight games, and they won and covered seven of those games. It's because James Harden has turned his game up a few notches, pushing the Rockets to wins and covers in 12 of their last 14. He scored 40-plus points in seven of those games, 39 in two of them and 37 in two others. He doesn't shoot a high percentage, but he's always on the free-throw line and the team is winning. So chuck away and fear the beard. Rockets at home are the play.