The Hawks have covered four of their last five road games, not to mention seven of the past eight meetings with Milwaukee. While the Bucks are impressive on a nightly basis, this is too many points. Especially with the Bucks possibly looking ahead to their game with Toronto on Saturday. Take the points.

It's always a little scary to go against one of the best teams in the league at home against one of the worst teams in the league, but Atlanta's done pretty well against the Bucks over the years. At least against the spread anyway. Atlanta is 7-1 ATS against Milwaukee in the last 8 meetings, and the road team has covered four straight in this series.

The Bucks have been on a nice run of beating down bad teams, winning and covering their last four. The Hawks come off a 114-98 loss Wednesday at Washington and this will be the last of a three-game road trip. The Hawks certainly qualify as another bad team on the Bucks schedule. This will be their first meeting this season. The Bucks have gone 13-6-1 ATS at home. The Bucks get the cover.