The Hornets are 3-7 on the road, but 6-3 at home. In this series, the home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the past six meetings. Charlotte can hang with Milwaukee, especially on the Hornets' home floor. Grab the points in what should be an entertaining, down-to-the-wire affair.

The Hornets have been a bit snake-bitten this season. They're 9-10 but own a point differential of +4.5. Four of their five prior losses have been by one, one, three and five points. They are coming a heartbreaker to the Hawks, who snapped a 10-game winless skid. Still, my simulations show Charlotte covering the spread nearly two-thirds of the time against the Bucks and winning this one outright more than half the time. Home cooking should do the Hornets some good. Take the points.