This total has risen to the point where there's value on the Under. Back the Under to cash for the ninth straight time when these teams play in Salt Lake City.

It's hard to ignore the trends when the Under has cashed in five of the last six head-to-meetings between the Thunder and Jazz. The Under is 5-2 in OKC's last seven games and 3-1 in Utah's previous four. My projections indicate the Game 3 Under hitting in 71 percent of simulations. Expect a low-scoring game in Salt Lake City.

The Jazz and Thunder currently have an even series. Heading to Utah from Oklahoma City is one of the closer series, in terms of distance. With three days off since Game 2, many may factor rest and close proximity as a play for the Over. Instead, grab the value of the high number and take the Under.

The Jazz simply out-toughed the Thunder in Game 2 at OKC and it's likely to be taken up another notch with the Jazz home for Game 3. With all the bricks the Thunder were throwing up (40 percent FGs made) in Game 2, the Jazz pulled down 56 boards. Utah simply wants it more and it's the better team. The Jazz get the win and cover here.