The Spurs were mostly dreadful on offense with 40 percent field-goal shooting in their first two games against the Warriors. Golden State was actually slow to get going in each of the first halves before coming on strong and going for 229 combined points in taking a 2-0 series lead. With an expected increase in energy on its home court and slightly better offensive execution, San Antonio should carry its load toward sending this Over the total Thursday night.

The Spurs have won 11 straight home games and I like them to come out with energy and desperation tonight. Golden State's superior talent eventually will take over, but grab San Antonio in the first half.

The first two games of this series have hit 217 and 205 points, but my computer expects the Spurs offense to fare better now that it's back on the home court. The Over is hitting in 63 percent of my simulations.