Wish I had jumped on this total earlier, but I'll still go Over and look for Houston to shoot much better from long range. They were just 10 of 37 in Game 1. Ryan Anderson's expected return will help. Back the Over to improve to 15-4 in the last 19 Timberwolves-Rockets games.

My projections see the gritty Timberwolves hanging tight again in Game 2 of their first-round playoff series Wednesday and covering another double-figure spread against the high-powered Rockets. Despite a 44-point effort from James Harden in Game 1, Minnesota slowed the tempo just enough to stay within reach and executed well on its own offensive end. I've got the Timberwolves covering in 67 percent of simulations and similarly taking Game 2 down to the wire.