I'm looking for a letdown from the Hawks, who have won three straight as an underdog, and are coming Sunday's historic comeback against the Cavaliers. Although Atlanta has motivation for moving up to the No. 5 seed in the playoffs, this is nearly an inevitable flat spot against a Hornets team desperate for a strong performance following four straight losses. The situational spot provides value with the points Tuesday.

My simulations tell me the Hawks and Hornets should combine for about 200 points Tuesday, sending this one a few buckets Under the posted total. The Under has hit six straight times between these two teams in Atlanta, and eight consecutive times in the series overall. Charlotte has also played eight straight Unders against teams with winning records. This is too much history to ignore -- look for another Under on Tuesday.