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Adam Thompson
Staff Analyst
Sat 10/27 Sat 10/27

Boston +150 BOS +150

Boston 9 @ L.A. Dodgers 6
10/28
BOS 9 @ LAD 6
10/28
WIN

This game should be a pick 'em, there are so many unknown variables -- including the starting pitchers. The Red Sox used their Game 4 starter for six innings on Friday so he's out. All we know is it'll be a lefty -- Eduardo Rodriguez or a short-rested Chris Sale most likely. I'm OK backing either at the price Boston is getting. Rodriguez posted a .213 road batting average allowed. The Dodgers are likely going with LHP Rich Hill, who was better this season on the road then at home. While Boston used up its Game 4 starter, it saved the bullpen. Nobody else threw more than 1.1 innings, while L.A.'s top three guys each went 2.0. What these teams did against LHPs in Games 1 and 2 matched their regular-season experiences. I'll back Boston for that reason and with its bullpen in slightly better shape.

23-8 IN LAST 31 BOS ML PICKS | +1326

14-7 IN LAST 21 LAD ML PICKS | +1014

L.A. Dodgers -161 LAD -161

Boston 2 @ L.A. Dodgers 3
10/27
BOS 2 @ LAD 3
10/27
WIN

Walker Buehler got back on track last time out, striking out seven Brewers in 4.2 innings. Look for the desperate Dodgers to start hitting at home and get this must-win game.

21-9 IN LAST 30 BOS ML PICKS | +1031

10-3 IN LAST 13 LAD ML PICKS | +802

Adam Thompson
Staff Analyst
Wed 10/24 Wed 10/24

Boston -150 BOS -150

L.A. Dodgers 2 @ Boston 4
10/25
LAD 2 @ BOS 4
10/25
WIN

Hyun-Jin Ryu went 7-3 with a 1.97 ERA this season, but those numbers don't tell the story as far as Game 2 is concerned. His road ERA this season is 3.58, nearly 2.5 runs higher than his home split. Since the All-Star break, his batting average allowed is more than 100 points higher, and he comes off consecutive poor outings against the Brewers. Now he faces MLB's top lineup in the Red Sox. David Price, meanwhile, is considerably better at home -- he's 9-2 with a 2.98 ERA at Fenway, and sports at 2.25 ERA and .200 average allowed since the All-Star break. L.A. will be motivated to head home 1-1, but Boston is too good here.

23-8 IN LAST 31 BOS ML PICKS | +1326

14-7 IN LAST 21 LAD ML PICKS | +1014

Adam Thompson
Staff Analyst
Tue 10/23 Tue 10/23

Boston -150 BOS -150

L.A. Dodgers 4 @ Boston 8
10/24
LAD 4 @ BOS 8
10/24
WIN

It's hard to go against Clayton Kerhsaw, but this is more about going with the Red Sox. Boston averaged a MLB-best 5.8 runs per game at home, and hit .282 at home (second to the Rockies). Its bats got hot in the postseason, especially against lefties, batting .284. That's the opposite trend of the Dodgers, who were just .240 against LHPs all season and .207 in the playoffs. Chris Sale had a 2.11 ERA at home as batters hit only .202 against him all season. No lineup is tougher than Boston's, it's especially elite at home and Sale won't wilt under the Game 1 World Series lights.

23-8 IN LAST 31 BOS ML PICKS | +1326

14-7 IN LAST 21 LAD ML PICKS | +1014

UNDER 7.5 UNDER 7.5

L.A. Dodgers 5 @ Milwaukee 1
10/21
LAD 5 @ MIL 1
10/21
WIN

Walker Buehler appears to be running out of gas in his last two starts. He took a 4-0 loss to the Brewers in Game 3 and also lost to the Braves in the NLDS allowing five runs. That's nine runs in two starts. He allowed just 35 runs in 25 regular season starts. I'm expecting him to pitch well. Jhoulys Chacin has been tough with the Brewers winning his last five and his last four staying Under. I'm on the Under.

14-5-1 IN LAST 20 MIL O/U PICKS | +850

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