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Orioles vs. Cubs Tuesday MLB trends, odds: Red-hot Baltimore now taking heavy futures betting action

The Baltimore Orioles are one of the biggest stories in baseball right now.
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The Baltimore Orioles enter Tuesday's interleague series opener at the Chicago Cubs on an eight-game winning streak, the franchise's longest run of any kind since it won 12 in a row between September 2015 and April 2016, and its longest within a single season since April 22-May 1, 2005. The Birds just finished their first undefeated homestand of at least seven games since Aug. 3-9, 2004. Bettors at Caesars Sportsbook have taken notice regarding futures odds.

"It's a great story," said Eric Biggio, Lead Baseball Trader at Caesars Sportsbook. "We need one of these every year, where one of these habitual underdogs that the public goes against had a good run. We have the go-against teams like the Pirates and the Reds and the Athletics. … We need Oakland pretty much every day because people bet against them blindly. Baltimore was one of those teams where without even looking, people would bet against them every day. That has stopped, so that's been the most significant change where they're no longer the automatic fade."

The Orioles actually have the best MLB runline mark at 55-32, cashing 63.2 percent of the time. If someone had wagered $10 on the Orioles in their first game of this eight-game winning streak and rolled over the moneyline winnings for each game, they would be up $1,262.55.

Last week, Baltimore was +10000 to win both the World Series and AL East Division and +5000 to win the AL pennant. Now the Birds are +5000 for the WS/AL East and +2500 for the pennant. From midnight ET yesterday to 9 ET this morning, the Orioles have received the most tickets and money to win the World Series and AL pennant at Caesars. For overall liability for World Series futures, only the Astros and Mets winning it would currently be worse outcomes for Caesars Sportsbook than O's.

"Those 1000/1 tickets add up pretty quick," Biggio said. "Every $5 bet is five dimes in liability. To get ahead of that, we have to drop the odds pretty quick. At the same time, they'd be the prohibitive underdog in any series if they were to make the playoffs. They still have significant roster issues like starting pitching. Unless they made some immediate moves to help out their roster, I'd be pretty comfortable taking more action on Baltimore."

Caesars updates its win totals daily. Baltimore was as low as Over/Under 58.5 in April and was 71.5 last week but that number has risen to 75. To make the playoffs, the Orioles are still +2500 long shots. They are 18.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East, so a divisional title happening, but the O's are just two games out of the AL's final Wild-Card spot.

Baltimore is a +100 underdog tonight at Wrigley Field. The Orioles' Jordan Lyles (5-7, 4.50 ERA) is countered by the Cubs' Adrian Sampson (0-0, 2.91 ERA).

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