Seems a very fair price as I expect the Twins to be one of the worst teams in baseball. They sold off most of their good guys at last year's deadline and also lost No. 1/No. 2 starting pitcher Pablo Lopez to a season-ending injury already. Joe Ryan is a good starting pitcher, though, and goes today, and that's why the short price. I expect the Orioles to be a lot better than 2025. The lineup added major thunder in Taylor Ward and Pete Alonso. Perhaps consider Tyler O'Neill at +310 to homer. Why? He has done so in an MLB-record six straight Opening Day games with three different clubs. O'Neill has a solo shot in two ABs career vs. Ryan.

Caesar’s. Trevor Rogers draws the Opening Day start for the Orioles, looking to build off an impressive 2025 campaign. Last season, he pitched to a 1.80 ERA (3.41 xERA), while showcasing increased velocity and an improved slider/sweeper combo. He looked the part spring training, pitching to a 2.51 ERA and 0.98 WHIP - building up to 5.1 innings and 82 pitches in his final outing. He’ll face a Twins lineup that profiles to be well below average against LHP this season, as well as from a pitches per plate appearance perspective. I’d bet this line up to over 16.5 outs for 0.75 betting units.

Last year, Trevor Rogers was 4-1 with a 0.96 ERA at Camden Yards, having allowed only five earned runs in 47.0 innings pitched. He opens 2026 against one of the worst teams in the league, with the Orioles having added some major pop to the lineup with Pete Alonso and Taylor Ward. I think Baltimore cruises to a home victory and covers the run line for us with relative ease on Opening Day.

I'm jumping on the Orioles early with Trevor Rogers scheduled for Opening Day. I think this closes around -180. If Rogers pitches like he did last season, getting him -162 at home will be a distant memory. I also think the O's rebound in a big way this season, while I have the Twins rated as one of the worst teams in the AL. A little Opening Day value on Baltimore.