In Michael Wacha's last three starts against the Diamondbacks, he allowed 10 combined runs, with all three games going over the total, including last year when Arizona beat him 8-6. The Diamondbacks have won Ryne Nelson's last four starts, with him only allowing four earned runs over that span, but five starts ago allowed seven runs in three innings to the Reds. The Diamondbacks have lost three straight, but they've also gone over the last four games and over eight of their last nine. Kansas City scores seven runs a game, and they’ve stayed under the total 53 times, but Arizona has gone over 46 times and scores 10.34 runs a game, and also has a terrible bullpen. Just the over.