With yesterday's game being rained out, we are going back to this play. Greene is coming off of back-to-back games with a HR and gets a favorable matchup against Trevor Williams today. He has a .993 OPS with 18 of his 19 HRs against right-handed pitchers, and he's also been better on the road, where he is hitting .318 with 11 HRs in just 39 games. Trevor Williams has been getting hit hard by left-handed hitters all season. Lefties are hitting .373 with a .992 OPS against Williams over a large 16-game sample size this season. We set the line at +350 for Greene to homer today.