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It’s tough to go against the Arizona Diamondbacks right now. They are finally healthy with both Ketel Marte and Christian Walker back in the lineup, and had Thursday off unlike the Brewers. Yet, Eduardo Rodriguez has been extremely predictable over his last three starts the Mets, Dodgers, and Astros have hit him hard. Take the Brewers to be the latest to get to Rodriguez. Back the Brewers.
The Diamondbacks are the best over team in baseball hitting at 60% and we got another one today that's going to go over with Eduardo Rodriguez who has gone over his last three starts allowing a total of 13 runs losing his last two. The Diamondbacks have won seven out of left 9 against the Brewers including the two pivotal wild-card games last year in Milwaukee. We're going to go with the over again with Arizona hitting against Freddy Peralta again. Peralta pitched game 2 that Milwaukee lost in the wild-card last year.
Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta is a fine pitcher but the way the Diamondbacks are raking right now, I'm not sure they should be home dogs to anyone. So this is me simply buying the insurance. They also were off Thursday, while the Brewers had to use their two highest-leverage relievers (Trevor McGill and Devin Williams) for the second time in three games Thursday in San Francisco so they might not be available.