Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Expert Picks
With only five wins as a road team this year, I don't expect the A's to start turning it up now. Edward Cabrera features a whiff rate of 35%+ on all pitches other than his fastball, and he leans on his changeup, which Oakland hasn't found much success against this season. Miami lost 10-1 yesterday, won't have to travel for this game, and faces a lefty in Hogan Harris (after Shintaro Fujinami plays opener). The Marlins bullpen should be fairly rested, and they were not bad in May, with a 3.79 ERA. Lastly, the Marlins were top-10 in MLB with a .819 OPS to LHP.
Shintaro Fujinami is 0-4 with a 14.40 ERA in his four starts. The A's lost those four games by an average of 9.8 runs per game. The Marlins have won four of their last five meetings against the A's with all four of the wins coming by multiple runs. The A's have lost 11 straight road games and that shouldn't change tonight.
Big travel spot for the A's who visit a tough hitting environment in Miami. Oakland ranks dead last in MLB with a .279 wOBA against right-handed pitching. Look for Edward Cabrera to manage this lineup with his changeup, curveball and fastball. Miami will find a little success against the lefty, but the overall hitting environment doesn't support the total here. This should close at 8.5 but I make the number down closer to 8 (7.9). I'm on the Under.