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    Fri 05/26 | 11:05 PM UTC | Bronx
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    San Diego Padres 28-33, -1207 ML
    SD -1.5+140
    SD -115
    Over 9.5+100
    N.Y. Yankees 36-26, +311 ML
    NYY +1.5-165
    NYY -105
    Under 9.5-120

    Expert Picks

    MLB | San Diego 5 @ N.Y. Yankees 1 | 05/26 | 11:05 PM UTC

    N.Y. Yankees +1.5 -165

    LOSS

    ANALYSIS: Even though I don't know much about Yankees pitcher Randy Vasquez in his MLB debut, I'm not sure the Yankees should be home dogs vs. Joe Musgrove (1-2, 6.75 ERA). New York has hit hit 44 HRs in 23 games during the month of May, the most in the majors in that span. The Yankees also rank fourth in SLG (.466), runs scored (123) and runs scored per game (5.35). It would take pretty unusual circumstances for me to not take the Yankees +1.5 at home.

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    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +460 19-10 IN LAST 29 MLB PICKS
    +683 23-12 IN LAST 35 NYY ATS PICKS
    +635 19-10 IN LAST 29 SD ATS PICKS

    Season Splits

    28-33, -1207 ML
    36-26, +311 ML
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    46%
    23-27, -1013
    30-22, +96
    57%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    47%
    11-12, -246
    17-12, -94
    58%
    As Favorite
    STATUS
    As Underdog or Even
    48%
    15-16, -743
    6-8, -18
    42%
    When Line was -129 to +101
    MONEY LINE
    When Line was -120 to +110
    50%
    5-5, -24
    3-4, -122
    42%
    As Road Favorite
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Underdog
    55%
    5-4, -81
    2-2, +28
    50%
    vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
    45%
    15-18, -545
    6-3, +141
    66%
    vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
    16%
    1-5, -380
    3-2, -5
    60%
    3rd game without a day off
    REST
    3rd game without a day off
    47%
    16-18, -672
    24-17, +106
    58%
    vs NYY
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs SD
    0%
    0-0, 0
    0-0, 0
    0%
    when Joe Musgrove starts
    PROJECTED STARTER
    when Randy Vasquez starts
    40%
    2-3, -179
    0-0, 0
    0%