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Wed 10/05 | 8:10 PM UTC | Seattle
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Detroit Tigers 66-95, -695 ML
DET +1.5-165
DET +122
Over 7.5-110
Seattle Mariners 92-75, +625 ML
SEA -1.5+140
SEA -145
Under 7.5-110

Expert Picks

MLB | Detroit 4 @ Seattle 5 | 10/05 | 8:10 PM UTC

Seattle -145

WIN

ANALYSIS: I probably shouldn't make a play today after a good Tuesday ... but what fun would that be? Seattle is starting pretty much every healthy regular ahead of their Wild-Card series, while the Tigers are resting a few guys -- including Miguel Cabrera. The pitching matchup favors the M's with lefty Marco Gonzales holding a 3.56 home ERA and Detroit lefty Tyler Alexander 2-6 with a 5.58 ERA on the road. Seattle has won its past six at home vs. a southpaw.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+866 19-8 IN LAST 27 DET ML PICKS
+535 8-2 IN LAST 10 SEA ML PICKS

Season Splits

66-95, -695 ML
92-75, +625 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
41%
66-95, -695
89-72, +599
55%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
38%
31-49, -106
45-35, -14
56%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
39%
54-82, -287
54-27, +846
66%
When Line was +110 to +140
MONEY LINE
When Line was -162 to -132
36%
15-26, -760
22-6, +904
78%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
38%
30-49, -175
30-19, -32
61%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
30%
15-35, -1042
41-34, -645
54%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
25%
10-30, -1432
45-30, +116
60%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
37%
43-73, -1271
64-57, -87
52%
vs SEA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs DET
16%
1-5, -291
5-1, +206
83%
when Tyler Alexander starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Marco Gonzales starts
18%
3-13, -785
14-17, -258
45%