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Fri 08/19 | 11:05 PM UTC | Pittsburgh
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cincinnati Reds 60-96, -1794 ML
CIN -1.5+143
CIN -115
Over 8-105
Pittsburgh Pirates 59-97, -1561 ML
PIT +1.5-170
PIT -105
Under 8-115

Expert Picks

MLB | Cincinnati 4 @ Pittsburgh 5 | 08/19 | 11:05 PM UTC

Cincinnati -115

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Both of these teams have been awful lately: the Pirates are 1-7 in their last eight games, and the Reds are 2-6 in theirs. Bryse Wilson pitched last month in Cincinnati, resulting in a 5-1 Reds victory. Granted, Wilson's 7.50 home ERA is inflated from a couple terrible starts, but he also hasn't shown to improve when facing an opponent for the second, or even third, time. Graham Ashcraft hasn't been the most consistent pitcher, but the Reds are still 10-5 on the money line in his starts. Both bullpens are ranked in the bottom three, but the Reds did have a day off yesterday. In the last month, the Pirates' offense is ranked second to last with a 0.613 OPS, while the Reds have an OPS of 0.681. At -115, I'll take this slightly better team Reds team.

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Allie O'Neill

Allie-Bama
+1140 19-6 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS

Season Splits

60-96, -1794 ML
59-97, -1561 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
39%
46-70, -1089
46-72, -682
39%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
37%
20-34, -484
25-31, +47
44%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
43%
10-13, -553
37-66, -768
35%
When Line was -130 to -100
MONEY LINE
When Line was -119 to +111
35%
7-13, -687
9-10, -107
47%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0%
0-1, -100
17-26, -63
39%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
39%
11-17, -652
14-21, -741
40%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
50%
27-27, +481
27-32, 0
45%
After a Day Off
REST
3rd game without a day off
50%
8-8, +313
36-51, -5
41%
vs PIT
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CIN
55%
5-4, +58
4-5, -160
44%
when Graham Ashcraft starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Bryse Wilson starts
66%
10-5, +1091
7-6, +531
53%